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Why you shouldn't stop traveling to Mexico

The last Mexico Mix column looked at why Mexico's drug-related violence has recently spilled into tourist destinations. This time, we'll look at why that shouldn't stop you from traveling to Mexico.

No, we're not recommending a holiday in beautiful downtown Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, or a romantic getaway in Tecalitlán, Jalisco. Even I admit that when I had to fly into Acapulco and drive across the city on my last trip to Mexico, I was just as happy not to be lingering there.

But it's still true that drug gangs are not targeting tourists now any more than they ever were. And even if the barrage of headlines makes it sound as if the entire country were in flames, the violence that feeds Mexico's death toll takes place primarily in just nine of 31 states — mainly along the U.S. border where the smuggling takes place and in places where marijuana and heroin are produced.

The concept hasn't changed: Stay away from the trouble spots and exhibit some common sense, and you're more likely to perish in a tequila-fueled Jet Ski mishap than at a homicidal drug trafficker's hands. What makes this concept more complicated today is that you can no longer rely on the common wisdom about sticking with established tourist destinations.

Until this year, the public had to rely on media tallies of drug-related killings or on sporadic and often confusing numbers compiled by various government agencies. In January, the Mexican government made the task easier by releasing a comprehensive official database of drug-related deaths — including gang members, police, soldiers and bystanders — each year from the beginning of Calderón's term in December 2006 through the end of 2010. In addition to the alarming numbers in those nine states — ranging from 40 (in Michoacán) to 297.5 (in Chihuahua) deaths per 100,000 people — it shows that modest homicide rates prevail in much of the country.

Outside those nine states, the total homicide rate for the four years is a more tolerable 1.1 to 29.8 per 100,000. In 2010, Mexico City's drug-related homicide rate was 2.2 per 100,000. While it is not an exact comparison, since the Mexico database tracks specifically drug-related deaths, Washington, D.C.'s homicide rate for 2009, the latest year for which the FBI's Uniform Crime Report is available, of 24 per 100,000 adds some perspective. California's rate was 5.3; the U.S. national average was 5.0.

If you're looking for the safest places in Mexico, Yucatán and Tlaxcala states had fewer than 1.5 deaths per 100,000 population for the four-year period through 2010 — comparable to Minnesota and Vermont. Puebla, Querétaro, Baja California Sur, Campeche, Veracruz, Hidalgo, Chiapas, San Luis Potosí, the Federal District (Mexico City), Tabasco, Zacatecas and Guanajuato also recorded single-digit rates.

Here's a closer look at the top five:

1) Tlaxcala (1.1 deaths per 100,000): Mexico's safest state is also its smallest, tucked just east of Mexico state like a notch in Puebla's side, with the Sierra Madre Oriental dominating its eastern boundary. It is an agricultural state with a significant tourism industry made up mainly of Mexican visitors and a smattering of history-minded German, French and Swiss travelers. Its primary attractions, barely known to U.S. tourists, are precolumbian archaeological sites such as Cacaxtla and colonial architecture in and around the capital city of Tlaxcala. The state has more than 1,000 archaeological sites, only seven of which are open to the public. It's tailor-made for travelers hankering for an authentic cultural foray safely removed from the hordes.


Read more: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/g/a/2011/04/20/mexico_mix_safe_travel.DTL#ixzz1KBCKI1Rl
Published Thursday, April 21, 2011 9:27 AM by Zinnia Q.

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